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Catalog Valuation Framework

Not every catalog sells for the same price — buyers pay different multiples depending on how culturally durable, streamable, and commercially proven the artist is. This framework breaks catalogs into four tiers so artists know where they stand before they walk into a negotiation.

The Structure
TIER MULTIPLE — NPS WHO BUYS AT THIS TIER Super Prime Legacy Springsteen · Dylan · Young 25–35× Sovereign wealth · major label parents Multigenerational, sync-deep, decay-proof Prime Evergreen Swift · Usher · Drake 18–25× Hipgnosis-type funds · HarbourView Peak relevance, proven staying power Active Prime Nelly · T-Pain · mid-tier R&B 10–18× Boutique funds · impact-thesis funds Consistent streaming, thin sync history Emerging / catalogue risk Unproven · disputed · declining Sub-10× Speculative funds · individuals High risk, occasionally high upside A 20× multiple on a catalogue earning $10M a year prices the acquisition at $200M. NPS = Net Publisher Share
Data SourceDue Dilly vault · referenced in 2 episodes
EP 06Catalogs Are Currency for Creators. Here's How to Profit on Yours.Watch →

One of the clearest operators in the catalog acquisition space; HarbourView's "transcendent works" thesis is central to Due Dilly's argument about music catalogs as currency.

EP 08Our Favorite Things 2025 — Signal, Not NoiseWatch →

Founder of HarbourView Equity Partners — highlighted for catalog acquisitions of Slipknot, T-Pain, Nelly, and Hit-Boy based on the thesis that transcendent works are asset classes that outperform traditional markets.

Catalog Valuation Framework

What It Is

Not all music catalogs are valued the same. The catalog valuation framework describes the tiers that institutional buyers use (explicitly or implicitly) when pricing catalog acquisitions.

Valuation is typically expressed as a NPS multiple — a multiple of the catalog's Net Publisher Share (annual royalty income). A 20x NPS multiple on a catalog earning $10M/year = $200M acquisition price.

Tier 1: Super Prime Legacy

Artists with multigenerational, culturally canonical status. Deep sync libraries. Streaming that will never decay. Examples: Bruce Springsteen, Bob Dylan, Neil Young.

  • Typical multiple: 25–35x NPS
  • Buyer profile: Sovereign wealth, major label parent cos

Tier 2: Prime Evergreen

Artists at peak cultural relevance with catalogs that have proven staying power and strong demographic appeal across age groups. Examples: Taylor Swift, Usher, Drake.

  • Typical multiple: 18–25x NPS
  • Buyer profile: Hipgnosis-type funds, HarbourView, label catalog divisions

Tier 3: Active Prime

Working artists with strong but more niche or regional appeal. Consistent streaming. Limited sync history. Examples: Nelly, T-Pain, mid-tier R&B/hip-hop catalogs.

  • Typical multiple: 10–18x NPS
  • Buyer profile: Boutique funds like HarbourView, impact-thesis funds

Tier 4: Emerging / Catalog Risk

New or unproven catalogs, catalogs with complicated ownership disputes, or artists whose streaming is declining. High risk, potentially high upside.

  • Typical multiple: Sub-10x NPS
  • Buyer profile: Speculative funds, individual investors

Why It Matters

Understanding where your catalog sits in this framework is leverage. Artists who negotiate acquisitions without this knowledge routinely sell at the wrong tier. Knowing you're Tier 2 and being offered Tier 3 multiples is the difference between a transformational outcome and an undervalued exit.

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